60m Propagation Project

The objective of our 60M Experiment is to evaluate the band as a viable HF communications link between remote communities and larger centres throughout the Northern Canada Auroral Zone.
To accomplish this, we are gathering a team of interested individuals in various locations to beacon, and monitor beacons from other stations throughout the region.
Beacons heard will are spotted to PSK Reporter. The PSK Reporter data is automatically updated our central data base.
Solar weather data will also update our central database every 15 minutes.
Beacons heard, and solar conditions will be displayed graphically on a common time base to allow the data to be analysed. This feature is currently under development.

The graphs will show us beacons heard by any station and the existing solar conditions at any given time.
From this information we are hoping to learn what solar conditions need to exist to support a reasonable communications path, and what conditions will not.

Geoalert

:Product: GEOALERT :Issued: 2021 May 08 0330 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center. # Geoalert WWA128 UGEOA 20401 10508 0330/ 9930/ 10081 20082 30081 99999 UGEOE 20401 10508 0330/ 07/01 18432 1904/ 19192 23911 31602 09401 17817 92822 99999 UGEOI 20401 10508 0330/ 07/// 10015 20750 3003/ 4///0 50100 65008 74504 80101 90130 99999 UGEOR 20401 10508 0330/ 07/24 08101 12822 20100 30010 43212 50130 60005 17018 01000 99999

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Solar & Geophysical Activity Summary (SGAS)

:Product: Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary :Issued: 2021 May 08 0245 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary SGAS Number 128 Issued at 0245Z on 08 May 2021 This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 07 May A. Energetic Events Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep 1843 1904 1919 2822 N17E78 M3.9 1n 160 94 II B. Proton Events: None. C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet. D. Stratwarm: Not Available E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values) 10 cm 075 SSN 015 Afr/Ap 003/002 X-ray Background A5.0 Daily Proton Fluence (flux accumulation over 24 hrs) GT 1 MeV 1.1e+05 GT 10 MeV 4.5e+04 p/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-16 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) Daily Electron Fluence GT 2 MeV 4.30e+06 e/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-16 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) 3 Hour K-indices: Boulder 0 0 0 1 1 3 2 1 Planetary 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 F. Comments: None.
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NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2021 May 08 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 08-May 10 2021 is 2 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown May 08-May 10 2021
May 08 May 09 May 10 00-03UT 2 2 2 03-06UT 1 2 2 06-09UT 1 2 2 09-12UT 1 2 2 12-15UT 1 2 2 15-18UT 1 2 2 18-21UT 2 2 2 21-00UT 2 2 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 08-May 10 2021
May 08 May 09 May 10 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at May 07 2021 1904 UTC.
Radio Blackout Forecast for May 08-May 10 2021
May 08 May 09 May 10 R1-R2 5% 5% 5% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.
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Solar Region Summary (SRS)

:Product: Solar Region Summary :Issued: 2021 May 08 0030 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 128 Issued at 0030Z on 08 May 2021 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 07 May I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 07/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 2822 N18E70 335 0130 Cso 04 05 Beta IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 07/2400Z May Nmbr Location Lo None II. Regions Due to Return 08 May to 10 May Nmbr Lat Lo 2816 S22 283
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Forecast Discussion

Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2021 May 08 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary… Solar activity reached moderate levels. Newly numbered Region 2822 (N18E70, Cso/beta) continued to rotate into view and produced an M3.9/1n flare at 07/1904 UTC. This event was accompanied by Type II (848 km/s) and Type IV radio sweeps, as well as dimming around the region in SUVI 195 imagery. Further analysis will occur to determine if there is an Earth-directed component to the CME as coronagraph imagery becomes available.
.Forecast… Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels, with a slight chance for C-class flares on 08-10 May.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was normal to moderate and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux continued at background values.
.Forecast… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be normal to moderate 08-10 May and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary… Solar wind parameters, as measured by the DSCOVR spacecraft, reflected nominal conditions. Total magnetic field strength was between 4-7 nT. No significant periods of southward Bz were observed. Solar wind speeds averaged near 300 km/s. Phi angle was oriented in the positive sector.
.Forecast… Solar wind parameters are likely to remain nominal over 08 May. A weak enhancement from interaction with a negative polarity CH HSS is possible on 09-10 May.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary… The geomagnetic field was quiet.
.Forecast… The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet, with isolated unsettled periods possible on 09-10 May.
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Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 127 Issued at 2200Z on 07 May 2021
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M3 event observed at 07/1904Z. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (08 May, 09 May, 10 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 331 km/s at 06/2145Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 07/0024Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at 07/1511Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 282 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (08 May, 09 May, 10 May).
III. Event probabilities 08 May-10 May Class M 05/05/05 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 07 May 075 Predicted 08 May-10 May 075/075/077 90 Day Mean 07 May 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 06 May 002/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 07 May 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 08 May-10 May 006/005-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 May-10 May A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/10/10 Minor Storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 20/15/15 Minor Storm 20/25/25 Major-severe storm 10/20/20
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[Ips-flare-alert] SWS FLARE INFORMATION – END OF EVENT issued 1934 UT on 07 May 2021

SWS FLARE ALERT – PART C PRELIMINARY FLARE DETAILS AT END OF FLARE ISSUE TIME: Fri May 7 19:34:04 UTC 2021 ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Approximate Flare Start : 07-05-2021 1856 UT Approximate Flare Maximum: 07-05-2021 1903 UT at Flux M 3.9 Approximate Flare End : 07-05-2021 1930 UT ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Follow the progress of flares on the SWS Web site www.sws.bom.gov.au Click “Space Weather” Click “X-Ray Flux” ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Australian Space Forecast Centre Space Weather Services (61)(2)9213 8010 (phone) (61)(2)9213 8061 (fax) asfc@bom.gov.au ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Space Weather Services email: asfc@bom.gov.au Bureau of Meteorology PO Box 1386 WWW: www.sws.bom.gov.au Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain, confidential or copyright information. The views expressed in this message are those of the individual sender, unless specifically stated to be the views of SWS. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. To unsubscribe from an IPS mail list either send an email to “MAIL_LIST”-leave@ips.gov.au or go to www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/“MAIL_LIST”. Information about training can be obtained from www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-training. General information is available from www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-info.
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ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4 Serial Number: 548 Issue Time: 2021 May 07 1927 UTC
ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission Begin Time: 2021 May 07 1907 UTC
NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
Description: Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections and solar radiation storms.
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ALERT: Type II Radio Emission

Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 1082 Issue Time: 2021 May 07 1926 UTC
ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2021 May 07 1902 UTC Estimated Velocity: 848 km/s
NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.
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SUMMARY: 10 cm Radio Burst

Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R Serial Number: 714 Issue Time: 2021 May 07 1925 UTC
SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst Begin Time: 2021 May 07 1850 UTC Maximum Time: 2021 May 07 1902 UTC End Time: 2021 May 07 1915 UTC Duration: 25 minutes Peak Flux: 130 sfu Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 71 sfu
NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.
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