60m Propagation Project

The objective of our 60M Experiment is to evaluate the band as a viable HF communications link between remote communities and larger centres throughout the Northern Canada Auroral Zone.
To accomplish this, we are gathering a team of interested individuals in various locations to beacon, and monitor beacons from other stations throughout the region.
Beacons heard will are spotted to PSK Reporter. The PSK Reporter data is automatically updated our central data base.
Solar weather data will also update our central database every 15 minutes.
Beacons heard, and solar conditions will be displayed graphically on a common time base to allow the data to be analysed. This feature is currently under development.

The graphs will show us beacons heard by any station and the existing solar conditions at any given time.
From this information we are hoping to learn what solar conditions need to exist to support a reasonable communications path, and what conditions will not.

NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2020 Aug 07 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 07-Aug 09 2020 is 3 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 07-Aug 09 2020
Aug 07 Aug 08 Aug 09 00-03UT 2 3 2 03-06UT 1 3 1 06-09UT 1 2 1 09-12UT 1 2 1 12-15UT 1 1 1 15-18UT 1 1 1 18-21UT 2 2 2 21-00UT 2 2 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 07-Aug 09 2020
Aug 07 Aug 08 Aug 09 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 07-Aug 09 2020
Aug 07 Aug 08 Aug 09 R1-R2 1% 1% 1% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.
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Forecast Discussion

Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2020 Aug 07 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary… Solar activity continued at very low levels. Region 2770 (N23E28, Cso/beta) was mostly stable and produced only B-level enhancements. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
.Forecast… Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels for 07-09 Aug.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels, with a peak flux of 1,974 pfu at 06/1710 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.
.Forecast… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is anticipated to reach high levels on 07-08 Aug before returning to moderate levels on 09 Aug. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels for the forecast period.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary… Solar wind parameters, as measured by the DSCOVR spacecraft, reflected continued effects of a positive polarity CH HSS. Total magnetic field strength was at or below 5 nT. Solar wind speeds gradually decreased through the period from 530 km/s to near 450 by period’s end. Phi angle was oriented in a predominantly positive sector.
.Forecast… Solar wind parameters are expected to continue to wane over the remainder of 07 Aug. Another weak enhancement from a small, positive polarity CH HSS is possible on 08 Aug. A return to nominal conditions is expected for 09 Aug.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary… The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
.Forecast… The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at mostly quiet levels over 07 Aug. Quiet to unsettled conditions may occur on 08 Aug in response to a weak CH HSS. 09 Aug will likely be quiet as nominal solar wind conditions return.
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Geoalert

:Product: GEOALERT :Issued: 2020 Aug 07 0330 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center. # Geoalert WWA220 UGEOA 20401 00807 0330/ 9930/ 10071 20071 30071 99999 UGEOE 20401 00807 0330/ 06/00 99999 UGEOI 20401 00807 0330/ 06/// 10014 20730 3005/ 4///0 50000 63408 74704 80003 90070 99999 UGEOR 20401 00807 0330/ 06/24 07101 12770 20000 30000 43212 50070 60004 13623 01000 99999

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Solar & Geophysical Activity Summary (SGAS)

:Product: Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary :Issued: 2020 Aug 07 0245 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary SGAS Number 220 Issued at 0245Z on 07 Aug 2020 This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 06 Aug A. Energetic Events Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep None B. Proton Events: None. C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet. D. Stratwarm: Not Available E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values) 10 cm 073 SSN 014 Afr/Ap 004/004 X-ray Background A3.3 Daily Proton Fluence (flux accumulation over 24 hrs) GT 1 MeV 6.2e+04 GT 10 MeV 4.7e+04 p/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-16 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) Daily Electron Fluence GT 2 MeV 1.00e+08 e/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-16 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) 3 Hour K-indices: Boulder 0 2 1 1 3 3 1 2 Planetary 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 2 F. Comments: None.
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Forecast Discussion

Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2020 Aug 07 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary… Solar activity continued at very low levels. Region 2770 (N23E36, Cso/beta) was mostly stable and produced only B-level enhancements. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
.Forecast… Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels for 07-09 Aug.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels, with a peak flux of 1,974 pfu at 06/1710 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.
.Forecast… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is anticipated to reach high levels on 07-08 Aug before returning to moderate levels on 09 Aug. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels for the forecast period.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary… Solar wind parameters, as measured by the DSCOVR spacecraft, reflected continued effects of a positive polarity CH HSS. Total magnetic field strength was at or below 5 nT. Solar wind speeds increased from ~425 km/s to near 500 km/s through the rest of the reporting period. Phi angle was predominantly oriented in a positive sector.
.Forecast… Solar wind parameters are expected to wane over 07 Aug. Another weak enhancement from a small, positive polarity CH HSS is possible on 08 Aug. A return to nominal conditions is expected for 09 Aug.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary… The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
.Forecast… The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at mostly quiet levels over 07 Aug. Quiet to unsettled conditions may occur in response to a weak CH HSS on 08 Aug. 09 Aug will likely be quiet as nominal solar wind conditions return.
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NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2020 Aug 07 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 07-Aug 09 2020 is 3 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 07-Aug 09 2020
Aug 07 Aug 08 Aug 09 00-03UT 2 3 2 03-06UT 2 3 1 06-09UT 1 2 1 09-12UT 1 2 1 12-15UT 1 1 1 15-18UT 1 1 1 18-21UT 2 2 2 21-00UT 2 2 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 07-Aug 09 2020
Aug 07 Aug 08 Aug 09 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 07-Aug 09 2020
Aug 07 Aug 08 Aug 09 R1-R2 1% 1% 1% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.
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Solar Region Summary (SRS)

:Product: Solar Region Summary :Issued: 2020 Aug 07 0030 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 220 Issued at 0030Z on 07 Aug 2020 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 06 Aug I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 06/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 2770 N23E36 023 0070 Cso 06 04 Beta IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 06/2400Z Aug Nmbr Location Lo 2768 N26W56 115 2769 N27W01 060 II. Regions Due to Return 07 Aug to 09 Aug Nmbr Lat Lo None
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Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 219 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Aug 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (07 Aug, 08 Aug, 09 Aug).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 530 km/s at 06/1418Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 06/0239Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 06/0035Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1974 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and three (07 Aug, 09 Aug) and quiet to unsettled levels on day two (08 Aug).
III. Event probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 06 Aug 073 Predicted 07 Aug-09 Aug 073/073/073 90 Day Mean 06 Aug 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 05 Aug 006/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Aug 004/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug 006/005-008/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/15/10 Minor Storm 01/05/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 20/20/20 Minor Storm 20/25/20 Major-severe storm 10/20/10
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Forecast Discussion

Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2020 Aug 06 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary… Solar activity continued at very low levels. Region 2770 (N24E42, Cso/beta) exhibited slight regeneration in its trailing spots, but remained inactive. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
.Forecast… Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels for 06-08 Aug.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels, with a peak flux of 2,820 pfu at 05/1630 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.
.Forecast… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is anticipated to reach high levels on 06 Aug before returning to and remaining at moderate levels for 07-08 Aug. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels for the forecast period.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary… Solar wind parameters, measured at the DSCOVR spacecraft, were indicative of continued, yet waning effects of a positive polarity CH HSS. Solar wind speeds began the period near 500 km/s, decreased to around 425 km/s for several hours, then returned to near 500 km/s for the remainder of the period. Total field strength averaged near 4 nT, and the Bz component averaged near +/-4 nT. Phi was predominantly in a positive orientation while undertaking several brief oscillations into a negative solar sector.
.Forecast… Solar wind parameters are expected to continue their waning trend on 06 Aug as positive polarity CH HSS effects subside. Ambient-like, background conditions are anticipated for 07 Aug before becoming slightly enhanced on 08 Aug due to a weak, positive polarity CH HSS.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary… The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels as CH HSS influence persisted but weakened.
.Forecast… Mostly quiet conditions, with a chance for an isolated unsettled period, are anticipated for 06 Aug as CH HSS influence gradually subsides. Quiet conditions should then persist through 07 Aug before a chance for isolated unsettled conditions return 08 Aug as a positive polarity CH HSS becomes geoeffective.
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NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2020 Aug 06 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 06-Aug 08 2020 is 3 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 06-Aug 08 2020
Aug 06 Aug 07 Aug 08 00-03UT 1 2 3 03-06UT 2 2 3 06-09UT 1 1 2 09-12UT 1 1 2 12-15UT 1 1 1 15-18UT 1 1 1 18-21UT 2 2 2 21-00UT 2 2 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 06-Aug 08 2020
Aug 06 Aug 07 Aug 08 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 06-Aug 08 2020
Aug 06 Aug 07 Aug 08 R1-R2 1% 1% 1% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.
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