60m Propagation Project

The objective of our 60M Experiment is to evaluate the band as a viable HF communications link between remote communities and larger centres throughout the Northern Canada Auroral Zone.
To accomplish this, we are gathering a team of interested individuals in various locations to beacon, and monitor beacons from other stations throughout the region.
Beacons heard will are spotted to PSK Reporter. The PSK Reporter data is automatically updated our central data base.
Solar weather data will also update our central database every 15 minutes.
Beacons heard, and solar conditions will be displayed graphically on a common time base to allow the data to be analysed. This feature is currently under development.

The graphs will show us beacons heard by any station and the existing solar conditions at any given time.
From this information we are hoping to learn what solar conditions need to exist to support a reasonable communications path, and what conditions will not.

Geoalert

:Product: GEOALERT :Issued: 2021 Aug 01 0330 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center. # Geoalert WWA213 UGEOA 20401 10801 0330/ 9930/ 10011 20011 30011 99999 UGEOE 20401 10801 0330/ 31/00 99999 UGEOI 20401 10801 0330/ 31/// 10000 20760 3006/ 4///0 50000 63808 74404 80003 90000 99999 UGEOR 20401 10801 0330/ 31/24 01100 99999

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Solar & Geophysical Activity Summary (SGAS)

:Product: Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary :Issued: 2021 Aug 01 0245 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary SGAS Number 213 Issued at 0245Z on 01 Aug 2021 This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 31 Jul A. Energetic Events Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep None B. Proton Events: None. C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet. D. Stratwarm: Not Available E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values) 10 cm 076 SSN 000 Afr/Ap 006/005 X-ray Background A3.8 Daily Proton Fluence (flux accumulation over 24 hrs) GT 1 MeV 9.6e+04 GT 10 MeV 4.4e+04 p/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-16 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) Daily Electron Fluence GT 2 MeV 9.50e+06 e/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-16 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) 3 Hour K-indices: Boulder 3 2 2 1 2 3 2 1 Planetary 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 F. Comments: None.
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Forecast Discussion

Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2021 Aug 01 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary… Solar activity was very low as the visible solar disk remained spotless. Beginning at about 31/1605, GOES-16 SUVI 304 imagery observed plage brightening and coronal dimming in the vicinity of plage Region 2849 (S27, L=074). GOES-16 x-ray data recorded a long-duration B2.4 event. STEREO-A COR2 coronagraph imagery observed a CME beginning at about 31/1753 UTC; no LASCO coronagraph data was available at the time of this writing. Analysis of any Earth-directed component will be accomplished as more coronagraph data becomes available. No other CMEs were detected in available coronagraph imagery.
.Forecast… Very low solar activity is expected to continue on 01-03 Aug.
Energetic Particles
.24 hr Summary… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels while the greater than 10 MeV proton flux maintained background levels.
.Forecast… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels on 01-03 Aug.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary… Solar wind parameters was indicative of waning positive polarity CH HSS influences. Total IMF strength ranged between 1-6 nT while the Bz component varied weakly between +4/-2 nT. Solar wind speeds slowly decreased through the period from about 485-410 km/s. The phi angle was predominantly oriented in the positive solar sector.
.Forecast… A slightly enhanced solar wind environment is expected to continue through 02 Aug due to CH HSS influences. Additionally, CME activity from 28 Jul is anticipated to pass close to Earth on 01 Aug. If Earth experiences any effects, they are expected to be weak, and might linger through 02 Aug.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary… The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
.Forecast… The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 01-02 Aug, with isolated active intervals possible on 01 Aug due to lingering CH HSS effects and possible additional influences from the close proximity of a passing transient.
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NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2021 Aug 01 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 01-Aug 03 2021 is 4 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 01-Aug 03 2021
Aug 01 Aug 02 Aug 03 00-03UT 4 3 2 03-06UT 3 2 1 06-09UT 3 2 1 09-12UT 2 2 1 12-15UT 2 2 1 15-18UT 3 2 1 18-21UT 3 2 2 21-00UT 2 2 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 01-Aug 03 2021
Aug 01 Aug 02 Aug 03 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 01-Aug 03 2021
Aug 01 Aug 02 Aug 03 R1-R2 1% 1% 1% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.
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Solar Region Summary (SRS)

:Product: Solar Region Summary :Issued: 2021 Aug 01 0030 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 213 Issued at 0030Z on 01 Aug 2021 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 31 Jul I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 31/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type None IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 31/2400Z Jul Nmbr Location Lo 2846 N24W88 089 2847 S28W70 071 2849 S27W73 074 II. Regions Due to Return 01 Aug to 03 Aug Nmbr Lat Lo None
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Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 212 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Jul 2021
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (01 Aug, 02 Aug, 03 Aug).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 492 km/s at 30/2102Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 30/2338Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at 31/1817Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 379 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (01 Aug), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (02 Aug) and quiet levels on day three (03 Aug).
III. Event probabilities 01 Aug-03 Aug Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 31 Jul 076 Predicted 01 Aug-03 Aug 074/072/072 90 Day Mean 31 Jul 079
V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 30 Jul 006/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 31 Jul 008/009 Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Aug-03 Aug 010/012-007/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Aug-03 Aug A. Middle Latitudes Active 30/20/15 Minor Storm 10/05/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor Storm 30/25/20 Major-severe storm 40/25/20
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NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2021 Jul 31 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 31-Aug 02 2021 is 4 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 31-Aug 02 2021
Jul 31 Aug 01 Aug 02 00-03UT 2 4 3 03-06UT 2 3 2 06-09UT 2 3 2 09-12UT 2 2 2 12-15UT 2 2 2 15-18UT 3 3 2 18-21UT 3 3 2 21-00UT 3 2 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 31-Aug 02 2021
Jul 31 Aug 01 Aug 02 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 31-Aug 02 2021
Jul 31 Aug 01 Aug 02 R1-R2 1% 1% 1% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.
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Forecast Discussion

Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2021 Jul 31 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary… Solar activity was very low as the visible solar disk remained spotless. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected in available coronagraph imagery.
.Forecast… Very low solar activity is expected to continue on 31 Jul-02 Aug.
Energetic Particles
.24 hr Summary… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels with a peak flux of 779 pfu observed at 30/1600 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux maintained background levels.
.Forecast… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to moderate levels, with a chance for high levels, on 31 Jul-02 Aug due to CH HSS influences. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary… Solar wind parameters remained indicative of weak CH HSS influences. Total IMF strength ranged between 1-5 nT while the Bz component varied between +5/-4 nT. Solar wind speeds meandered between about 440-525 km/s. The phi angle was predominantly oriented in the positive solar sector.
.Forecast… A slightly enhanced solar wind environment is expected to continue through 02 Aug due to CH HSS influences. Additionally, several CMEs (from 25, 27, and 28 Jul) are anticipated to pass close to Earth on 31 Jul and 01 Aug. While model analysis suggested these transients were mostly near misses, weak disturbances in the solar wind field could be experienced all three days of the forecast period.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary… The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
.Forecast… The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 31 Jul through 02 Aug, with isolated active intervals on 01 Aug. These varying responses are anticipated reactions to CH HSS effects and possible additional influences from the close proximity of passing transients.
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Geoalert

:Product: GEOALERT :Issued: 2021 Jul 31 0330 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center. # Geoalert WWA212 UGEOA 20401 10731 0330/ 9930/ 10311 20311 30311 99999 UGEOE 20401 10731 0330/ 30/00 99999 UGEOI 20401 10731 0330/ 30/// 10000 20760 3006/ 4///0 50000 63908 74404 80003 90000 99999 UGEOR 20401 10731 0330/ 30/24 31100 99999

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Solar & Geophysical Activity Summary (SGAS)

:Product: Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary :Issued: 2021 Jul 31 0245 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary SGAS Number 212 Issued at 0245Z on 31 Jul 2021 This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 30 Jul A. Energetic Events Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep None B. Proton Events: None. C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. D. Stratwarm: Not Available E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values) 10 cm 076 SSN 000 Afr/Ap 006/008 X-ray Background A3.9 Daily Proton Fluence (flux accumulation over 24 hrs) GT 1 MeV 1.8e+05 GT 10 MeV 4.4e+04 p/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-16 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) Daily Electron Fluence GT 2 MeV 1.90e+07 e/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-16 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) 3 Hour K-indices: Boulder 1 1 2 3 2 3 2 3 Planetary 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 F. Comments: None.
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