60m Propagation Project

The objective of our 60M Experiment is to evaluate the band as a viable HF communications link between remote communities and larger centres throughout the Northern Canada Auroral Zone.
To accomplish this, we are gathering a team of interested individuals in various locations to beacon, and monitor beacons from other stations throughout the region.
Beacons heard will are spotted to PSK Reporter. The PSK Reporter data is automatically updated our central data base.
Solar weather data will also update our central database every 15 minutes.
Beacons heard, and solar conditions will be displayed graphically on a common time base to allow the data to be analysed. This feature is currently under development.

The graphs will show us beacons heard by any station and the existing solar conditions at any given time.
From this information we are hoping to learn what solar conditions need to exist to support a reasonable communications path, and what conditions will not.

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Geoalert

:Product: GEOALERT :Issued: 2021 Jun 18 0330 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center. # Geoalert WWA169 UGEOA 20401 10618 0330/ 9930/ 10181 20181 30181 99999 UGEOE 20401 10618 0330/ 17/00 99999 UGEOI 20401 10618 0330/ 17/// 10012 20750 3007/ 4///0 50000 63908 74304 80001 90130 99999 UGEOR 20401 10618 0330/ 17/24 18101 12833 20000 30000 47201 50130 60002 11124 00000 99999

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Solar & Geophysical Activity Summary (SGAS)

:Product: Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary :Issued: 2021 Jun 18 0245 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar and Geophysical Activity Summary SGAS Number 169 Issued at 0245Z on 18 Jun 2021 This report is compiled from data received at SWO on 17 Jun A. Energetic Events Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep None B. Proton Events: None C. Geomagnetic Activity Summary: Field conditions were at quiet to unsettled levels. D. Stratwarm: Not Available E. Daily Indices: (real-time preliminary/estimated values) 10 cm 075 SSN 012 Afr/Ap 009/007 X-ray Background A3.9 Daily Proton Fluence (flux accumulation over 24 hrs) GT 1 MeV 1.0e+05 GT 10 MeV 4.3e+04 p/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-16 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) Daily Electron Fluence GT 2 MeV 2.00e+08 e/(cm2-ster-day) (GOES-16 satellite synchronous orbit W75 degrees) 3 Hour K-indices: Boulder 2 3 3 2 3 2 1 1 Planetary 2 3 2 1 1 1 0 1 F. Comments: None
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NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2021 Jun 18 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 18-Jun 20 2021 is 3 (below NOAA Scale levels).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 18-Jun 20 2021
Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun 20 00-03UT 2 2 2 03-06UT 3 1 2 06-09UT 2 1 1 09-12UT 2 1 1 12-15UT 1 1 1 15-18UT 2 1 1 18-21UT 2 2 1 21-00UT 2 2 2
Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 18-Jun 20 2021
Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun 20 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 18-Jun 20 2021
Jun 18 Jun 19 Jun 20 R1-R2 1% 1% 1% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.
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Forecast Discussion

Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2021 Jun 18 0030 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary… Solar activity was very low. Region 2833 (N24E18, Hsx/alpha) was unchanged and inactive during the period. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.
.Forecast… Solar activity is expected to be very low on 18-20 Jun.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels with a peak flux of 4,862 pfu at 17/1425 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.
.Forecast… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at moderate to high levels on 18-20 Jun in response to persistent high speed solar wind stream effects. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels in the absence of significant active regions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary… Solar wind parameters were indicative of a persistent, yet waning CH HSS regime. Wind speeds slightly decreased from just over 570 km/s to near 500 km/s. Total field strength averaged near 4 nT, the Bz component was between +/- 3 nT, and the Phi angle remained in a mostly negative sector. Density and temperature remained steady throughout the period
.Forecast… Solar wind parameters are expected to begin a return to a slower wind regime on 18-20 Jun as the coronal hole moves out of a geo-effective position.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary… The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast… The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 18-20 Jun.
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Solar Region Summary (SRS)

:Product: Solar Region Summary :Issued: 2021 Jun 18 0030 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 169 Issued at 0030Z on 18 Jun 2021 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 17 Jun I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 17/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 2833 N24E11 211 0130 Hsx 05 02 Alpha IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 17/2400Z Jun Nmbr Location Lo None II. Regions Due to Return 18 Jun to 20 Jun Nmbr Lat Lo 2827 N12 096
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Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 168 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Jun 2021
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (18 Jun, 19 Jun, 20 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 596 km/s at 16/2241Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 4862 pfu. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (18 Jun) and quiet levels on days two and three (19 Jun, 20 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 18 Jun-20 Jun Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 17 Jun 075 Predicted 18 Jun-20 Jun 075/075/075 90 Day Mean 17 Jun 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 16 Jun 015/015 Estimated Afr/Ap 17 Jun 010/011 Predicted Afr/Ap 18 Jun-20 Jun 008/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Jun-20 Jun A. Middle Latitudes Active 20/10/10 Minor Storm 10/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/20/20 Minor Storm 25/20/20 Major-severe storm 35/10/10
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NOAA 3-Day Forecast

Product: 3-Day Forecast Issued: 2021 Jun 17 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast
The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels). The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jun 17-Jun 19 2021 is 5 (NOAA Scale G1).
NOAA Kp index breakdown Jun 17-Jun 19 2021
Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19 00-03UT 2 3 2 03-06UT 2 3 1 06-09UT 3 2 1 09-12UT 2 2 1 12-15UT 3 2 1 15-18UT 2 3 1 18-21UT 5 (G1) 3 2 21-00UT 3 3 2
Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely late on Jun 17 due to lingering -CH HSS influence.
B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast
Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.
Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jun 17-Jun 19 2021
Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19 S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.
C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast
No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.
Radio Blackout Forecast for Jun 17-Jun 19 2021
Jun 17 Jun 18 Jun 19 R1-R2 1% 1% 1% R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%
Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.
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Forecast Discussion

Product: Forecast Discussion Issued: 2021 Jun 17 1230 UTC Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
Solar Activity
.24 hr Summary… Solar activity was very low. Region 2833 (N24E18, Hsx/alpha) remained quiet and stable. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.
.Forecast… Solar activity is expected to be very low on 17-19 Jun.
Energetic Particle
.24 hr Summary… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels with a peak flux of 3,100 pfu at 17/1155 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.
.Forecast… The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at moderate to high levels on 17-19 Jun in response to persistent high speed solar wind stream effects. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels in the absence of significant active regions.
Solar Wind
.24 hr Summary… Solar wind parameters were indicative of a CH HSS regime. Wind speeds slightly decreased to just under 550 km/s and the Phi angle was predominantly negative. Total field strength averaged 3-5 nT, and Bz ranged from +/- 4 nT.
.Forecast… Enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to persist through 17 Jun before the coronal hole moves out of a geo-effective position on the 18th.
Geospace
.24 hr Summary… The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
.Forecast… The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels, with a lingering G1 (Minor) storm period likely on 17 Jun. The threat of a minor storm period on 17 Jun appears to be diminishing, but with wind speeds above 500 km/s, we will keep the chances for an isolated G1 storming period in the forecast. A return to mostly quiet to unsettled conditions is expected on 18-19 Jun.
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Geoalert

:Product: GEOALERT :Issued: 2021 Jun 17 0330 UTC # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center. # Geoalert WWA168 UGEOA 20401 10617 0330/ 9930/ 10171 21171 30171 99999 UGEOE 20401 10617 0330/ 16/00 99999 UGEOI 20401 10617 0330/ 16/// 10011 20760 3014/ 4///0 50000 63608 74304 80001 90130 99999 UGEOR 20401 10617 0330/ 16/24 17101 12833 20000 30000 47201 50130 60001 12524 00000 99999

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